Euro 2012 Predictions: A Guide to Who the Bookies Are
Euro 2012 Predictions: A Guide to Who the Bookies Are
Euro 2012: Betting Odds for the 16 Finalists in Poland and
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My outright picks for EURO 2016
INNOCENT POSSUM'S OUTRIGHT EURO 2016 BETS!
I had a great Champions League Final, putting my £50 free offer on Atletico to win on Penalties, but cashed out for £260 at the end of Extra Time. I then put £60 back down, £10 of which was placed on Real to win the shootout 5-3 and won £190. In total I made £290 profit which means I have a nice little fund to bet on the Euros (And Copa America!) with. I have put down an overall of £250 on 4 Teams to win the Tournament and 7 Potential Top Goalscorers (All with varying stakes). Without further ado, let's take a look at the picks!
ENGLAND @9.00 at WILLIAMHILL - £15 WIN Returns £135.00
BELGIUM @12.00 at BET365 - £20 E/W Returns £370.00
CROATIA @29.00 at BETFAIR - £10 E/W Returns 440.00
TOTAL STAKE: £150.00
My main pick for the tournament.
Defence: De Gea, Alba, Pique, Ramos, , Juanfran and Busquets
Midfield: Iniesta, David Silva, Koke and Fabregas
The defence should keep conceding down to a low amount, creativity in the midfield is absolutely insane and Morata can finish.
They have depth in Casillas, Azpilicueta, Anduriz, Pedro, Nolito, Bartra and Bellerin.
I fancy them to top their group, winning all 3 games.
Beat a best 3rds team like Slovakia in Ro16, Knock-out France in the QF's, England in the SF's and beat Belgium in the final.
France I feel have a very young squad and experience is lacking.
Germany haven't dazzled me since the world cup.
I am English. It is a duty, nay, an honour to back such a glorious team. Long live the Queen, Rule Britannia and all that.
In all seriousness I am backing them purely out of support.
Being honest, I would have said QF's but we could get an easy run to the SF's.
This squad is the first one to get me excited in a long time (No Gerrard, thank fuck, he cost us progression from the WC, but I won't go into that.)
WilliamHill are offering £5 for every England Win (incl. ET and Pens) if you back £10 or more on them.
I see us winning 2 possibly all 3 of our group games and then facing teams who aren't the toughest opponents in the KO stages.
The dark horses of the competition.
Defence: Courtois, vertonghen, Vermaelen and Alderweireld.
Midfield: De Bruyne, Nianggolan and Witsel
Attack: Hazard, Lukaku and Carrasco
Depth: Mignolet, Lukaku (J.), Dembele, Fellaini (Who IS good, if used right...), Mertens, Origi and Benteke.
@12.00 is a generous price.
Top the group with 7-9 points, beat a team like Croatia RO16, knock out Austria in QF's, Germany SF's then possibly beat Spain.
A huge outsider and unlikely to go the distance but they could surprise.
@29.00 they aren't to be sniffed at.
Subasic, Corluka, Srna in defence.
Midfield packed with talent in Modric, Rakitic, Kovavic and Perisic
Mandzukic is a challenge for defenders as he is a physical presence that is hard to handle.
I see them coming 2nd in their group then playing Belgium, if they have the ability to beat Belgioum they can take the same route Belgium were going to take.
I am going to preface this section by looking at the past 2 major national competitions, WC 2014 Brazil and EC 2012 Poland/Ukraine. Lets look at the WC first and see who were the top goals scorers:
James Rodriguez, Colombia, 6 Goals
Muller, Germany, 5 Goals
Neymar, Brazil, 4 Goals
The main thing I want to highlight here, is that Muller went to the final and didn't win, Rodriguez was knocked out in the QF's by Brazil. I think you can pick players from teams that won't go the whole way and still have good chance and get some good value. Euro 2012:
Torres, Spain, 3 Goals
Dzagoev, Russia, 3 Goals
Mandzukic, Croatia, 3 Goals
Gomez, Germany, 3 Goals
Balotelli, Italy, 3 Goals
Ronaldo, Portugal, 3 Goals
Torres won by scoring 3 in less time than the rest. My point with this is that players like Dzagoev would have been very highly priced and were only minutes away from winning, good for E/W shouts. It's also worth noting that the player who scored the HIGHEST amount of goals in the tournament only SCORED THREE GOALS. Admittedly, it was a smaller tournament, so there was one less round, but still we only need out players to get 4-5 goals and they could win it. Bare all this in mind when you look at my picks. Which are:
A. MORATA, Spain, Group D @19.00 at STAN JAMES - £17.50 E/W Returns £428.75
X. SHAQIRI, Switzerland, Group A @101.00 at BET365 - £2.50 E/W Returns £317.50
G. BALE, Wales, Group B @51.00 at WILLIAMHILL - £5.00 E/W Returns 322.50
R. LEWANDOWSKI, Poland, Group C @17.00 at PADDY POWER - £12.50 E/W Returns 275.00
M. MANDZUKIC, Croatia, Group D @41.00 at WILLIAMHILL - £5.00 E/W Returns £260.00
E. HAZARD, Belgium, Group E @51.00 at CORAL - £5.00 E/W Returns £322.50
M. ARNAUTOVIC, Austria, Group F @151.00 at BET365 - £2.50 E/W Returns 473.75
TOTAL STAKED: £100.00
Fairly obvious that since I think Spain will win, that Morata will be a good pick.
He will likely be alone up front getting all the goals.
He will have 3 of the best passers in the world feeding him the ball!
Stan James will give £5 for every goal he scores.
Croatia, Czech Republic and Turkey are all teams Spain can get goals against in the groups.
Spain will very likely face a 'Best of 3rds' team which could give an opportunity for more goals before the tough challenges appear.
My main pick, obviously.
Shaqiri for Group A because even though he isn't up front for Switzerland he is their star man.
Albania and Romania are teams that could very well let in a lot of goals.
France have Griezmann, Giroud and Martial all likely to share the goals.
@101.00 odds means it's worth a small punt E/W. (Dzagoev got 3 last Euro's and placed...)
Bale for Group B, because he is Wales's star man.
Slovakia and Russia (and England I guess) are teams Wales should get a goal against and it will likely come through Bale.
England have Kane, Vardy, Rooney and Rashford all competing to get goals whereas Bale is a cut above his team mates.
Bale will only need to get a goal a game to be in contention.
My 2nd pick, after Morata, is Lewy for Poalnd and Group C.
He is their star man. A quality player.
Germany will have Gomez, Muller and even the likes of Gotze and Schurrle picking up goals. Lewy has a better individual chance.
If we consider the target to be 5 goals to win the Golden Boot, Lewy did that in 9 minutes Vs. Wolfsburg.
Mandzukic for Group D (Though I have Morata as my main bet).
Croatia should get goals against Turkey and Czech republic and maybe even Spain.
Mandzukic is Croatia's main goal scorer.
Mandzukic came joint top in the last Euros.
He will have Rakitic, Modric and Kovacic feeding him the ball.
Hazard for Group E.
Belgium have a great side and should beat all 3 of their group counterparts.
Whilst Lukaku is the mains striker I didn't like his price.
Hazard has found his form right at the end of the PL season, just in time to be good for the Euros.
I can see it being a similar situation to Shaqiri, where he take control of games from the wing and terrorises defences.
Arnautovic for Group F.
Like Shaqiri and Hazard he is a stand out player (Goalwise) in the Austria squad.
Hungary and Iceland should concede goals.
Ronaldo injured himself and looked poor against Atletico in the CL final so his price really isn't worth it.
@151.00 odds is worth a small E/W punt as only a few goals may be needed to place!
THANK YOU FOR TAKING THE TIME TO READ!
LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU ARE TAILING IF ANYTHING.
PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE NEVER BET MORE THAN YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE!
I AM SO FUCKING HYPED FOR THE EUROS (AND COPA AMERICA!)
EURO 2016: Germany VS Northern Ireland and Ukraine VS Poland
It's a full day for our subscribers with betting previews from EURO 2016 (we previewed all EURO 2016 games today) and Tennis. Below you can find the previews for Ukraine - Poland and Northern Ireland - Germany. Don't just settle for 2 or 3 previews per week, join the newsletter and get access to all betting previews http://www.clubgowi.com
Germany- Northern Ireland
Poland - Ukraine
I previewed the Matchday 2 game between Germany and Poland .............
Poland beat Northern Ireland 1-0 on Matchday 1 , ahead of which I spoke about the usual open nature of their games............. I think that the top goalscorer market for the tournament is interesting, with an extra round for the first time, but no third and fourth place playoff game, we do not have any recent history to compare, but I doubt too much will change and that it will really be Group stage goals that will clinch it for someone, but ideally you would like to make at least the quarter final stage and it is hard to see less than five goals being enough this time round. Given that we have already discussed Mandzukic and also like Croatia's chances of making the quarters and possible beyond, it is hard to leave him out of the equation at a big looking 33-1 , but I will pass, given that we are already involved heavily on him and Croatia.
Ronaldo is favourite at 9.0 and I have no problem with that at all and those odds could look a gift in two weeks time with group opponents Austria , Hungary and Iceland having very little big tournament experience between them in the last two decades. But I prefer the chances of another proven goalscorer who is available at twice the odds. That is Robert Lewandowski of Poland, who I have already touched upon as dark horses. They look in a tough group with Germany, Ukraine and Northern Ireland, but were very impressive in qualifying, look a team on the up and have a really offensive minded approach. They scored a whopping 33 goals in qualification and whilst 15 came against group whipping boys , 18 otherwise in a section which included Germany and defensively minded Republic of Ireland and Scotland is very worthy of note. They ended just a point shy of the world champions and scored three goals in the two h2h games with them. The look the second best team in Group C, will certainly not fear the Germans after running them so close in qualifying and finishing top 2 would see them face either a third placed team, or the runner up in the England group and both would be matches we would favour them to win. So a last eight place is very much on the cards. They open against the Irish and whilst Matchday 1 games in any tournament are usually tight, this is their best opportunity to run in a few goals and they will want the points with Germany up next, they finish against a usually defensive Ukraine team, but one who might be forced out of their usual approach by their need for points at that stage.
Lewandowski with 13 goals was the top striker in qualifying , six v Gibraltar with 7 in the other eight games, he was top scorer in Bundesliga with his highest ever tally of 30 goals with an even split of 15 before and 15 after the Christmas break, his total of 9 in the Champions League was his best total since Dortmund's run the final in 2012-13 and a better goals per minute rate than for that campaign. Poland have scored two or more goals in 12 of the last 16 games that the Bayern striker has played and if they play five games and I favour then to do so, he must have a good chance of scoring enough to take him very close in this market.
Unlike the oddsmakers, I am expecting goals in this and hopefully Robert Lewandowski to hit the ground running with one or two personally. Poland are very offensive minded and if we forget their last two warm up games when they were trying things out, 12 of their 16 starts since the last World Cup have produced at least four goals , which in european international terms is incredible. Northern Ireland are at their first major championship in 30 years and will lack nothing in effort or team spirit, but whilst results have been good, they have not faced a team ranked inside the top 20 in the last two years and the 12 teams they have met in that period had an average FIFA ranking of 55. I would say that Poland are the strongest squad by some way that this Irish group have faced and I do expect the Poles to win, but they have conceded in five of their last seven wins, including to Gibraltar. The Irish are not involved in too many shoot outs, but two of their last four competitive starts have produced four goals, both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 and they have not been facing opposition of the quality or attacking nature of Poland.
The Poles will face far more offensive threat today, but will also have a little more space to expoloit themselves and after the two group games between the sides, do not feel that they fear the Germans, which is not the same as not respecting them, but too many teams go into games against the bigger nations with an inferiority complex and I do not see that being the case and for Poland, like many nations, any result against Germany will be doubly celebrated, so no lack of motivation. Former Brentford keeper Wojciech Szczesny is ruled out after suffering a thigh injury and will be replaced by Lukasz Fabianski of Swansea, but that is not a major concern for me. Lewandowski will surely get more space today and is used to scoring against German defenders, I definitely see a goal for them today and think it will be difficult for Germany, who always adopt a pragmatic approach to tournaments and group games and would be delighted with a narrow win and not too disappointed with a share of the spoils with three points already in the bag and Northern Ireland still to play, to score three, which no side has yet done at these championships.
That finished 0-0 , Germany did not overly impress, Poland played tight with what was usually two banks of four and with Milik and Lewandowski having what looked specific tasks, sticking with Kroos on the left and pressing up top to try and stop quick distribution from the back, respectively, which meant, they were unable to help each other much offensively. Poland will have a game much better suited to their talents today, with pointless Ukraine, who have been eliminated ( they cannot finish ahead of Northern Ireland) surely looking to at least open up and play for a win which would see them return home with a little pride. However, they showed little fighting qualities in the loss to the Irish and if they fall behind here, I could see Poland really enjoying themselves against a country they consider a rival. They have a good chance of winning the group with a 2 goal plus win and could not ask for a for a better opponent at this stage of the competition ( the only eliminated nation after two rounds).
Germany will doubtless have worked out where they would like to finish in the group, I do not feel they would be too worried if it was Switzerland or a third placed team, so I guess it is more about whether they wanted to play Spain or Italy in the last eight, but for once, they might not be too worried and they will always play with seven games in mind. Northern Ireland are in a strong qualification position with three points and a + goal difference , their game against Ukraine got very stretched and that suited them, but it was played in gruelling conditions and will have taken a toll, this seems far more likely to be played on Germany's terms and like the Irish opener with Poland, when they did not have an attempt on target. I expect a far more defensive showing from them again today, anything else could be suicide and if they fall behind, I doubt too much will change in terms of approach , as they will be mindful of goal difference, Germany to win 1-0/2-0.
Poland -0.75 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket.
Germany to win 1-0/2-0 both are priced at circa 5.50 which gives a combined 2.75.
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Who will earn the trophy of the golden boot on Euro 2012?
Gomez from Germany seems to have some really nice chances of snatching the reward this year. However, the Netherlands are a contender too and so are Spain. The Netherlands had a bad run recently against Bulgaria and finished 2-1, hopefully this will fire them to do really well in their groups and come up in their winning form for the actual event. For the purpose of betting I will be placing a bet on the top goal scorer and so far I think I will be placing my bet on - Klaas-Jan Huntelaar. The main idea here is that my stake (money that I used to bet with) will be refunded in case Mario Gomez wins the trophy, so I am going for the higher odds. Ronaldo is also a pick I would fancy due to the high morale he would be riding on from his club's excellent performance, but I have doubts that he might be too tired and similar to Messi would not do well in the Euro championship. On the other hand Klaas-Jan Huntelaar did well in the qualifiers and I believe that he will have the good chance of carrying on his team to a victory. For the fun of it I am placing 5 EUR on him ;) Here is more info on this Unibet promotion for stake refunds- it ends in a couple of hours at midnight European time; you need to place a goal scorer bet - in case it wins you win, in case it loses because Mario Gomez has won the trophy, your bet is refunded. So this is why I am placing my bet on another player in this case. Your bet slip should look like this: Euro 2012 - Happy Days #1: Top Goalscorer To score most goals Huntelaar, K J (Netherlands) (16.00) or replaced with whomever you have chosen to score most goals.
Euro 2012: Betting Odds for the 16 Finalists in Poland and Ukraine 0 of 16 With all 16 teams now in place, the build-up to next summer's European Championship in Poland and Ukraine can begin in Euro 2021 Top Goalscorer Betting Odds The Euro 2021 top goalscorer market is sure to attract plenty of interest this summer. England's Harry Kane is currently the favourite with William Hill with Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo next best. Here at the Smart Betting Club we have been beavering away on all the best betting angles and Euro 2012 Tips for the upcoming tournament.. One of the most popular but often toughest markets to bet upon is the Euro 2012 Top Scorer, where it can pay to look away from the usual suspects.. In recent major tournaments, this market has triggered some major shocks with winners such as Thomas Muller Euro 2012 odds at Ladbrokes.com Estonia vs Northern Ireland: Few goals in crunch Euro 2012 fixture Focus on the under 1.5 goals and under 2.5 goals markets in Tallinn Help: This page serves to display overall, home, away, form and other Soccer tables relating to Euro 2012 which is sorted in Europe category of BetExplorer sports stats service. Apart from Soccer tables, statistics and results, you can see archive odds of previous games in Euro 2012. The tabs on top of page let you see complete results of Euro 2012, fixtures and league stats informing of
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